Head of the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG), Dwikorita Karnawati said that based on the analysis of atmospheric dynamics on Wednesday (22/12) at 07.00 WIB, the Jakarta Tropical Cyclone Early Warning Center (TCWC) identified an increase in the potential for the formation of cyclonal circulation patterns (vortex winds). ).
This circulation pattern is suspected to increase to suspect area the potential for tropical cyclone seeds around the border of the Timor and Arafura seas or around the southern waters of the Tanimbar Islands in the next two days. This happened along with the strengthening of the circulation pattern and wind speed of the system.
“Suspect area it has a tendency to move south to southwest towards the northern waters of Australia. In the next 72 hours suspect area It is estimated that it will strengthen quite significantly, especially on Saturday (25/12) and Sunday (26/12) marked by the strengthening of circulation patterns and wind speeds above 25 knots, “explained Dwikorita Karnawati in a press conference, Wednesday (12/22) broadcast via BMKG YouTube channel.
BMKG predicts suspect area or the low pressure center currently in the Timor Sea will become a tropical cyclone in the period 24-25 December 2021, with the possibility that the center of the system is already in Australian territory.
The head of the BMKG Public Meteorology Center, Fachri Radjab, explained that the early stages of tropical cyclone seedling need to be taken into account because they have an impact on the weather in Indonesia.
“Typical low pressure centers or suspect area in the south, the impact on Indonesia is in the early stages. When it becomes a cyclone, the cyclone is far away, the impact is not significant on Indonesia, but the seeds, the initial stage is precisely now what needs to be vigilance, “he explained.
The BMKG conveyed a special early warning that is valid from 23 to 26 December 2021 in the form of the potential for moderate to heavy rain in East Nusa Tenggara, West Nusa Tenggara and Maluku. Strong winds also have the potential to occur in Southeast Sulawesi, East Nusa Tenggara and Maluku.
The potential for wave heights is 1.25 to 2.5 meters in the Seram Sea, Kaimana Waters, Aru Islands Waters, Sermata Islands Waters to Tanimbar, Amamapare Waters to northern Agats and Arafura Sea.
Wave potential of 2.5 to 4 meters in the eastern Flores Sea, southern waters of Baubau to Wakatobi Islands, Banda Sea, southern waters of Buru Island to Seram Island, Kai Islands waters and Fakfak waters.
Adaptation for Fishermen
Head of the BMKG Maritime Meteorology Center, Eko Prasetyo, assessed that adaptation efforts were needed, especially for shipping actors and fishing communities to moor ships and boats away from the harbor wall.
“It is not recommended to tether on the harbor walls, which when there is an increase in strong winds it can crash our ships against the harbor walls which will cause damage,” he said.
In addition, fishing communities are also advised to place boat moorings at a safe distance from each other to avoid collisions during strong winds.
BMKG appealed to the public to avoid shipping activities in waters affected by high waves. In addition, it also avoids areas prone to disasters, such as river valleys, slopes prone to landslides, trees that fall easily and beaches. The public is also advised to be aware of potential impacts such as floods, flash floods, coastal floods, landslides, especially in vulnerable areas. [yl/em]